The AfD party surpasses the Christian Union for the first time in a historic poll
For the first time, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party has surpassed the Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) in a poll conducted by YouGov, marking a new record for the party. If federal elections were held next Sunday, 27% of respondents would vote for the AfD, an increase of two points compared to August. The CDU/CSU, traditionally the largest conservative force, has fallen to 26% after losing one point. Previous polls had shown the AfD closing in on the union, but this is the first time it has taken the lead.
For its part, the Social Democratic Party (SPD) achieved a slight increase to reach 15%, while the Greens party fell to 11% after losing a point. The Left party also decreased to 9%, continuing its decline. In contrast, the BSW party managed to reach 5%, which is the minimum required to enter the Bundestag, while the Free Democratic Party (FDP) remained at 4% despite improving by one point, which does not qualify it for parliament.
Overall, 4% of voters said they would vote for other parties outside the major blocs. The results show a continued fragmentation of the political landscape in Germany, with smaller parties trying to surpass the threshold to enter parliament.
These results reflect a significant shift in German politics, as the AfD party has not only strengthened its position as a major opposition force but has now managed to surpass the Christian Union in voting intentions. The figures also highlight the challenges facing the coalition government made up of the Social Democratic Party and the Greens, which still lags far behind the leading parties.
However, polling experts warn that such results remain surrounded by uncertainty. With increasing voter volatility and weakening traditional party loyalties, it becomes difficult to predict long-term trends. Nevertheless, current data shows a strong boost for the AfD party, representing an unprecedented moment in the German political landscape.