Poll Shows One Nation and Labor Level on 28 Per Cent Primary Vote

Published 2026-10-29

A Guardian Essential Poll has found that One Nation and the Labor Party each have a primary vote of 28 per cent. The Coalition, made up of the Liberal and National parties, is on 23 per cent. The result shows a very close contest between these parties among Australian voters.

The primary vote is the share of voters who say they would support a party as their first choice on the ballot paper. It does not show which party would win seats in Parliament, because Australia's voting system also uses preferences, where voters rank candidates in order. For this reason, primary vote numbers are often used to show general trends in public support rather than final election results.

The poll places One Nation, a party that has become more visible in recent years, level with Labor, which currently leads the federal government. Labor's position in the poll is a key point for commentators, as it shows its support is not far ahead of a rival party. The Coalition's lower figure is also significant, because it suggests that the opposition has not gained a clear advantage over the other parties.

Polls like this one are regularly used by political parties, analysts and the media to measure changes in public opinion. Although a single poll cannot predict the outcome of a future election, it gives an early indication of how voters feel about the main parties. Further polls will be needed to see whether these numbers continue to change in the coming months.

Sources: News.com.au

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