The right-wing PVV party leads the polls in the Netherlands as elections approach.
Just three weeks before the Dutch parliamentary elections scheduled for October 29, the PVV party led by Geert Wilders continues to lead in opinion polls, according to the latest results from Peilingwijzer, which aggregates data from major institutions such as Ipsos I&O and Verian/EenVandaag. While support levels for other major parties have remained largely stable, D66 and JA21 have made small but notable gains.
Peilingwijzer shows that PVV is expected to win between 31 and 35 seats, which is slightly less than its current 37 seats in the Tweede Kamer (House of Representatives), but it still significantly outperforms its competitors. CDA comes in second with 22 to 26 seats, followed by GroenLinks-PvdA with 21 to 25 seats. Currently, CDA has only five seats in parliament, while GroenLinks-PvdA has twenty-five seats.
The VVD has dropped to 12 to 16 seats, compared to 24 seats currently, and is now led by Dylan Jezelgoes. The party seems to be at the same level as D66 and JA21 in the polls. D66, led by Rob Jetten, has risen from 9 seats to 12 to 15 seats in recent months, reflecting an improvement in voter confidence. The JA21 party, led by Joost Eerdmans, is also expected to make a significant leap, with forecasts indicating it will gain 9 to 13 seats instead of just one seat currently.
The small parties have not seen significant changes. The 50Plus party may manage to return to parliament with a maximum of two seats, while the NSC party is expected to lose all of its current twenty seats, marking a sharp decline after its rapid rise in the previous elections.
As the voting date approaches, it seems that the PVV still maintains its dominant position, while liberal and centrist parties like D66 and JA21 are trying to close the gap. The next few weeks will be crucial in determining the balance of power in the Dutch political landscape.